Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-22 5.267262e-05 0.000062 0.000071 0.000082 0.000094 0.000107 0.000121
2024-12-29 4.038272e-05 0.000052 0.000065 0.000081 0.000099 0.000120 0.000145
2025-01-05 3.233436e-05 0.000045 0.000060 0.000079 0.000103 0.000130 0.000163
2025-01-12 2.591223e-05 0.000039 0.000055 0.000077 0.000104 0.000136 0.000177
2025-01-19 2.062966e-05 0.000033 0.000050 0.000073 0.000103 0.000140 0.000187
2025-01-26 1.690663e-05 0.000029 0.000047 0.000071 0.000104 0.000145 0.000199
2025-02-02 1.532015e-05 0.000028 0.000047 0.000074 0.000110 0.000157 0.000219
2025-02-09 1.324859e-05 0.000026 0.000045 0.000074 0.000113 0.000165 0.000234
2025-02-16 1.274834e-05 0.000026 0.000047 0.000078 0.000123 0.000181 0.000260
2025-02-23 1.115258e-05 0.000024 0.000045 0.000078 0.000125 0.000188 0.000275
2025-03-02 8.928224e-06 0.000021 0.000042 0.000074 0.000123 0.000188 0.000280
2025-03-09 7.577984e-06 0.000019 0.000040 0.000073 0.000124 0.000193 0.000292
2025-03-16 6.072741e-06 0.000017 0.000037 0.000072 0.000125 0.000199 0.000307
2025-03-23 4.873736e-06 0.000015 0.000035 0.000071 0.000127 0.000207 0.000324
2025-03-30 3.852421e-06 0.000014 0.000033 0.000069 0.000128 0.000213 0.000340
2025-04-06 2.905469e-06 0.000012 0.000031 0.000067 0.000127 0.000217 0.000351
2025-04-13 2.092581e-06 0.000010 0.000028 0.000064 0.000125 0.000218 0.000359
2025-04-20 1.548120e-06 0.000009 0.000026 0.000062 0.000125 0.000222 0.000371
2025-04-27 1.363723e-06 0.000008 0.000026 0.000064 0.000132 0.000236 0.000398
2025-05-04 1.080184e-06 0.000008 0.000025 0.000064 0.000134 0.000244 0.000416
2025-05-11 1.045784e-06 0.000008 0.000027 0.000068 0.000144 0.000264 0.000452
2025-05-18 8.281500e-07 0.000007 0.000026 0.000068 0.000147 0.000272 0.000471
2025-05-25 5.350539e-07 0.000006 0.000023 0.000065 0.000144 0.000271 0.000476